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By Amity Shlaes
The Financial Times
It is summer
and I dream of Montana. I dream of Big Sky and Lone Mountain. I dream
of Flathead Lake. And I dream of acreage, endless acreage.
This ranch-in-Montana fantasy is a common one for the American male --
and even some females. Dwellers in big, expensive cities know they are
missing something that goes beyond a vacation-oriented lifestyle. That
something is the greater purchasing power of people who live in cheaper
places like Montana.
Their trouble is not merely cost of living, although that is a large factor.
It is also a more complicated syndrome we will dub the "San Francisco
Squeeze." The squeeze is the consequence of being caught between
two things: the high cost of living in big cities on the one hand and
the progressive structure of the U.S. tax code on the other.
You need a much higher income to maintain the same style of life in Boston
than you need in Missoula or Great Falls, Mont.
But the extra income that represents your cost-of-living adjustment also
pushes you into a higher tax bracket. U.S. tax brackets are adjusted for
inflation, but they are not adjusted for differences in the cost of living
in different places. So a good share of that extra money goes to your
national capital, not you.
The Tax Foundation in Washington has a "squeeze meter" for U.S.
cities. It started with a simple geographic cost-of-living index. Then
it looked at the tax burdens shouldered by those with nominally higher
wages in high-cost cities. The foundation found that the progressive rate
structure overcharges people who live in high-cost cities while undercharging
those in low-cost areas. (The study did not look at state and local taxes,
although these also affect after-tax income and relocation decisions.)
The differences are striking. In New York, a married couple needs $159,621
in income to achieve the median U.S. standard of living. That nominal
income means the family's effective federal tax rate is something like
20 percent. In Billings, Mont., it takes only $71,501 to get the average
American lifestyle. That couple's federal tax burden is merely 10.7 percent.
Another example: An income of $132,000 in San Francisco brings you about
the same value that you get for a mere $84,111 in Portland, Oregon, also
a highly livable port city. But in San Francisco a family pays over $22,000
in federal tax on that income, whereas in Portland they pay less than
$11,000.
And, of course, there is Montana, where I can have five bedrooms with
a mountain view, a barn, and fields for the dog to ramble across. Montana
begins to sound attractive, especially when you consider that for the
same purchase price, $525,000, you can get a one-bedroom shoe box, if
that, in Manhattan.
The squeeze has a political context. When presidential candidate John
Kerry says that he will raise taxes on the wealthy, he is, to a serious
extent, targeting the cost-of-living challenged (the squeezed). I got
a letter from the wife of a doctor with a practice in an expensive town
(Hinsdale, Illinois). A mother of four, she was working towards her nursing
degree, but was having a hard time doing it; the taxes plus the cost of
living made things a struggle.
But back to the Tax Foundation report. Put most simply, what it says is
that in Montana we could have a nicer house than we have in New York and
cut back on work, all without sacrificing standard of living.
Montana, here we come.
Amity Shlaes is a senior columnist on political economy
for the Financial Times. Her column was contributed by John Baden, chairman
of the Foundation for Research on Economics and the Environment (FREE) and
Gallatin Writers, both based in Bozeman, Mont.
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